By Graham Vanbergen: When
Theresa May called a snap election two months after reiterating seven
times in as many months that she would not do so, there were seemingly
good reasons behind it. Not least, May was in a commanding 21 point lead
ahead of Corbyn and she appeared at the time to be the most solid
politician to help negotiate a good Brexit deal for the country. In
addition, Labour was in the midst of an internal battle, driven by
a more right-wing ‘Blairite’ agenda.
Predictions were calling this a coronation more than an election.
It was considered a slam-dunk, an election was not really necessary but
democracy required going through the motions.
On May 13th – Professor Michael Thrasher, Sky Election Analyst predicted
how Theresa May could deliver a landslide win and score a majority of
as much as 212 seats in Parliament. Thrasher speculates by using
historical information that “a rather modest 2% swing directly from
Labour to the Conservatives, therefore, gives Mrs May an extra lift,
resulting in 420 seats and a 190 majority”.