CATALONIA -- Allò que diu l'enquesta de La Vanguardia sobre l'independentisme i els titulars amaguen - VilaWeb

Allò que diu l'enquesta de La Vanguardia sobre l'independentisme i els titulars amaguen - VilaWeb

What says the survey of La Vanguardia newspaper headlines about the independence and hide

The catheterization demonstrated an increased independence and the majority in favor of statehood in parliament

The probing and La Vanguardia published today indicates that CiU and ERC tie in elections also question a thousand respondents in the sample on the independence of Catalonia. The owners of two of the newspaper reports of the survey are due. ' The electoral map Catalan transition goes down the drain 'and' The fiscal pact and the third route will become options to the separation . " But the data underlying this last statement say more: for example, that independence remains the majority option, which increases two points in a year and a majority is in favor of the Catalans to the referendum unilaterally.

84.1% want to be able to call a referendum on independence for 14.6% opposed it. 49.8% of the population would vote in favor and 38.3% against. There would be a 10.2% undecided.

After asking this question La Vanguardia added the third way or fiscal pact formulated thus: 'If Catalonia came with the central government to agree on fiscal pact, what do you think votaríeu in a hypothetical referendum on independence?'. The question does not propose this fiscal pact or via a third option, but it maintains the independence duality yes or no to independence, so that within the block has not so far that people would like the status quo Current as those people who prefer (or trust) over all the fiscal pact. So, this blog would not be the majority, with 49.2% to 39.9% in favor of independence, and 8.5% undecided.

Presented these data, respondents consider another possible 'third way', as proposed by the federal state PSC, not solve the current problems: 59.3% believe that the solutions and that 33.4% yes I would.

What's more, 76.3% of respondents Rajoy is convinced that it will significantly improve the financing of Catalonia, who reformed the constitution to fit Catalonia in Spain (80.9%) and that it does not allow the consultation (82.4% ).

In fact, even though the state refused to authorize a referendum, the majority of Catalans would be willing to move forward unilaterally. Specifically, 57%.

The blog sovereignty, majority

According to this survey, carried out between September 30 and October 4, CiU and ERC dispute the first place if there were elections now in Parliament. Both groups would get between 36 and 37 seats: the federation lost thirteen or fourteen deputies and the Republicans win in fifteen or sixteen. The PSC would continue in free fall, and would the current 20 seats to 15-16, and the third would be threatened by the PP (14-16), despite the loss of seats, and even ICV, which remain at 12-13. Both citizens and increase strength CUP representation with 12-13 deputies and 6, respectively.

Now the sum of members of groups that were presented at elections of 2012 with the goal of statehood or independence is 74 (CiU + ERC + CUP) for 48 unionists (PSC + PP + Citizens ). Here we would leave aside ICV, which has 13 members, not defined by the position of a majority for or against independence (though clearly favorable determination and holding a consultation agreement with the state or without). Now, therefore, the difference is +26 deputies in favor of statehood.

With the survey data, the holder of sovereignty would increase, and would go from 74 to between 78 and 80 members, the unionist bloc would add between 41 and 45 members. The difference would then be between 33 and 39 deputies.