SPAIN AGAINST THE CATALONIA NATION --- El ‘think tank’ de la CEOE legitima la actuación del Ejército en caso de secesión | Cataluña | EL PAÍS
El ‘think tank’ de la CEOE legitima la actuación del Ejército en caso de secesión | Cataluña | EL PAÍS
The think tank of the CEOE legitimizes the actions of the Army if secession
IEE president, José Luis Feito provides capital flight and hyperinflation if independence
"All the money in here as we put all money in German banks are will bring," says
Not quite a year, the Institute of Economic Studies (IEE), the think tank of the CEOE, presented in Barcelona Equestrian Circle of a study that warned of the consequences of an eventual independence of Catalonia . Among them was the output of the euro, devaluation of the new currency and the loss of banks and companies.
On Thursday the think tank chose the same stage to present a report
that legitimizes military action in the event that the Catalan
parliament unilaterally declared secession and even states that their
political leaders will be arrested and would outlaw parties to support
it.
The report supported the military intervention is signed by Professor
of Economic Analysis of the Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB),
Clemente Polo and wears Panoramic title of economist argumentario in favor of Catalan independence. Myths and reality
in that Article defends the "right to territorial integrity of the
Spanish state" and exposes the contents of the Preliminary Title Article
2 of the Constitution, which "establishes the indissoluble unity of the
Spanish Nation" and Article 8, which states that "the Armed OUT is to
guarantee the sovereignty and independence of Spain. "
"It
is therefore abundantly clear that the secession of Catalonia does not
fit in the Constitution but the support the 33%, 51% or 62% of Catalan
citizens," says Polo, who adds that in the case of the Government and
Parliament of Catalonia refuse to comply with the Constitution, the
Central Government and the Courts "have to take steps to restore
constitutional order." What?
"We adentraríamos well in a situation of open conflict that inevitably
entail the suspension of the Statute of Autonomy of Catalonia, the
Catalan government's dismissal and the closure of its Parliament and
restriction of certain constitutional rights as is normal in these
extraordinary situations. If armed insurrection, the Spanish government
would have to take steps to suppress the uprising as happened in the
Second Republic measures, "he argues.
Polo argues that the central government never offered a deal of
independence in Catalonia, so a unilateral declaration of independence,
in his view, lead to a situation in which "aborted secession, imprisoned
its leaders and outlawed political parties that supported a
transitional period during which the statute would be suspended and
transferred powers would return to government hands would open ", as
happened in the Second Republic.
According to Polo, Rajoy will refuse independence to safeguard the
Constitution, but also because "there are powerful economic and social
reasons."
This document is in a book published by the IEE II entitled Catalan question. Fiscal balances and tax treatment of Catalonia, whose chapter on fiscal and financial relations firm investigator Angel de la Fuente. The presentation was followed by a dinner conversation in which the president of the IEE and the finance committee of the CEOE, José Luis Feito , with Polo and De la Fuente, chatted with entrepreneurs who attended the select club Barcelona.
There Feito complained that the sovereigntist process "has been a
single voice," that of "political authorities of Catalonia" and
criticized the "central government" has not "appeared". "Is absent, is missing.'s An unequal contest," complained Feito, who added that a year ago, when they presented the latest report, "almost killed us." "Sometimes the things that scare people are really just that people do not want to hear," he added.
Feito paint a black picture for Catalonia. Because the day after the declaration of independence, he said, there will be hyperinflation. And referred to the Weimar Republic in 1923, when inflation reached 29.500%. 'Take a zero, or two, "said predicting a triple-digit inflation. IEE president also predicted that the day that secession "nothing left" to occur.
"You will draw all the money from here, as we all put money in German
banks," he said in reference to the last crisis of sovereign debt. Moreover, he stated that Feito independence day "to intuit" "capital will" massively ".
Given this scenario, a retired businessman auxiliary automotive asked to speak.
He said he did not believe that Spanish banks leave Catalonia, nor
supermarkets, nor that multinationals that would allow tariffs or
European banks to risk losing their debts.
"It will be like the dentist: Dr. right we will not be hurt," said the
businessman, who criticized the method used to calculate the balance by
the Ministry, the benefit charge, because "all communities are
recognized things spent in Madrid. "
De la Fuente there responded and said that the method of cash flow,
which prioritizes the Generalitat, "not collected though the impact on
economic activity" because it is not important where the expenditure is
made, but in reality where it occurs. That is, that an investment in Madrid may cause spending there, but products that can be manufactured in Catalonia.
Feito criticized the central government for being "absent" in the sovereigntist discussion
Feito, that the presentation of the book had conceded that perhaps
"Catalonia was underfunded" but "like all communities, admitted that
occurs if the" flood "is not only" the first flood zone ", but the
consequences for the rest of Spain also will be "huge." "If Catalonia
sinks, the first thing that sinks is the rest of Spain, you can not
sell," he said. A businessman then asked to speak to support Feito and
commented that he it was putting part of your company in Madrid and
diverting billing because not trust "the process" Beside, another
businessman who claimed to be from Granada but at the time said that he
would defend Catalonia "tooth and nail" asked.: "Why Spain does not rob
us?". "This is' show me you did not steal your wallet! This is nonsense. That it is mounted on an independence movement is crazy "then interjected Feito.
Earlier in the presentation, De la Fuente had addressed why in his opinion there is no "abuse" fiscal Catalonia. He did give numbers, graphs and references.
De la Fuente, who is developing the fiscal balances for the Ministry of
Finance, called for reforming the financing system considering that
"malfunctions" and generates "greater inequality than reasonable"
between communities, especially among leasehold and common regime.
De la Fuente insisted that Catalonia is not "abused" because it is
within the average resources per capita and its fiscal position is the
corresponding to a community with a higher per capita income than the
average.
De la Fuente denied that Catalonia is battered or from a point of view of the model of financing or tax balances.
"Catalonia is where it, if you consider the per capita income and the
only complaint I can make is that you do not have privileges, but that
is not the same as abuse. It would be nice to have as much money as the Basques, but there is a right to such preferential treatment, "he said.
De la Fuente has indicated that there is a "persistent and successful
campaign marketing" tax on the study denies abuse occurring in Catalonia
De la Fuente said there is a "campaign of persistent and successful
marketing" tax on the study denies abuse occurring in Catalonia.
Although he did admit that the system fails the criterion of
ordinal-that communities occupying the same position before and after
providing system-, De la Fuente said the funding is part of the media
and the fiscal balance is between 5% to 6% if calculated by the method
of flow of the neutralized benefit. In addition, the researcher said that compared with similar regions of foreign countries are also not perceived "abuse".
Instead, De la Fuente criticized the "privileges" of those who in his view enjoy the Basque Country and Navarra.
"If we put the provincial communities in the package is the most
dramatic thing. Basque Country and Navarro may have Swedish services and
the rest we have to settle for the south of Europe."
The researcher noted that both territories have fiscal surplus, which
means "the rest of the country subsidizes two territories with a higher
than the national average income." Instead, he pointed to the case of the Valencian Community. This, he explained, is below average and far from communities that are "well funded" as La Rioja and Extremadura. "There is a range of difficult to justify," he reasoned. And besides, he added, Valencia has a fiscal deficit when their income is below the Spanish average.
Clemente Polo painted a "black picture" before an eventual independence of Catalonia.
He stated that sales will fall-Spain argues that in some countries of
Eastern Europe, exports fell to their environment up to 50% - will be
relocations and capital flight.
Polo criticized by pro-independence "minimize" risks, and predicted
"disastrous consequences" if Catalonia had to introduce its own currency
economists. "The Adventure of independence is very dangerous politically, socially and economically," he said.
Feito, however, noted that some studies and other economists do not
vary much because few study the short-term and other long consequences. Additionally, he said that "a hypothetical independence of Catalonia also have costs on the rest of Spain." "I do not analyze that moment has not applied its independence from Catalonia," he quipped.
IEE president, José Luis Feito. / Luis Magan