Foreign Policy Diary – The Middle East Big Game: Forecasting the conflict
The main strategic result of the ongoing Russian military operation
in Syria is loss of the US’s monopoly on the recourse to force. Now, the
US is lossing the leadership in the Middle East region. The success of
the alternative anti-ISIS coalition will mean that the US could lose the
leadership in a great part of the world, in Eurasia.
The US is pushed to answer on this challenge through political,
military and media means. This is why Washington is preparing a military
operation of Peshmerga and People’s Protection Units (YPG) to take
control of Raqqa. The US military will coordinate this offensive and
provide air support.
It’s important that Turkey is supporting this plan. Earlier,
SouthFront: Analysis & Intelligence noted that the Turkey’s attitude
against Kurds could conduct tensions between Washington and Ankara.
Now, it seems that Erdogan has decided to support the US because of
security threats conducted by the fail of pro-terrorist policy in Syria.
On October 7, six people linked to ISIS were arrested on charges of
illegally minting coins in the Turkish province of Gaziantep. Also,
Turkey has reportedly reduced an oil traide with ISIS.
